2025 WNBA Forecast
Elo ratings, regular season projections, playoff probabilities, Finals matchups, and more!
Latest forecast refresh: September 1, 2025
Welcome to the landing page for my 2025 WNBA forecast!
Here you’ll find the latest Elo ratings, regular season projections, playoff probabilities, and game-by-game predictions for the 2025 WNBA season.
I’ll aim to update this page daily throughout the year.
All underlying data comes from Basketball-Reference.com.
Use the Table of Contents below to navigate:
Table of Contents
Elo Ratings
Below are the latest Elo ratings and regular season standings for all 13 WNBA teams.
Regular Season Projections
Below are the projected win-loss records and scoring margins for all 13 WNBA teams. These projections are based on the average outcomes from 20,000 simulations of the regular season.
Playoffs Forecast
The table below shows each team’s probability of making the playoffs, reaching the semifinals, advancing to the WNBA Finals, and winning the championship.
WNBA Finals Forecast
These are the ten most likely matchups for the 2025 WNBA Finals, based on the model’s 20,000 simulations.
Upcoming Games
Below are the model’s win probabilities and point spreads for the upcoming WNBA games.
